First crack in Key's uneasy coalition

opinion

By Q+A producer Tim Watkin

Published: 11:19AM Thursday August 20, 2009 Source: Q+A

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National has made a success through its first nine months in government of putting potential coalition conflicts on hold. Reviews, consultation and export reports have been commissioned in the most contentious areas of government. But it couldn't last.

Tau Henare's email to National party colleagues about the Maori seats on the new Auckland council has brought the first big contest between coalition partners ACT and the Maori Party to a head. It's several weeks before the select committee is due to report back on its new super city plans, but ACT leader Rodney Hide has this morning been forced to confirm that he would resign if Maori-only seats were part of Auckland's new governance structure.

"If there were going to be reserved Maori seats, I couldn't as minister introduce that legislation and so, I would have to step aside," he told Breakfast.
Which is as clear an indication as we've had so far that National has absolutely no intention of bowing to Maori on this issue. For all the fighting that will ensue over coming days, the Maori Party seem to have lost this one.

Hide has grand plans for local government, including a rates cap for councils nationwide that will restrict them to what he deems as "core business" and introduce more user-pays in the provision of council services. He will not walk away from his mission so easily.

Looking at the raw politics, it was never likely that Maori seats would be part of this government's plan. Not only did National stand on a platform of abolishing Maori seats in last year's election, the Cabinet signed off on the reforms that rejected the Royal Commission's recommendation of three Maori seats.

John Key has repeatedly said he was seriously considering the Maori Party's position, that he was "listening". He said the hikoi protesting the ejection of Maori seats from the super city council was "ahead of its time" because nothing had been decided. Yeah right. This was never going to be an issue where the Prime Minister could wrangle a win-win. The best that he could hope for was that by delaying the scrap he could take some of the heat out of the issue.

What's more, Key always knew that the Maori Party wouldn't die in the ditch over these seats; minor coalition partners have to pick their fights and what the Maori Party wants more than anything else is the foreshore and seabed. It's hardly "mana-enhancing", but as Tariana Turia has said this morning, "we have no intentions of withdrawing support for the Government and we have no intention of withdrawing our ministerial roles. That's not what we went into the relationship for."

They went into the relationship to win return of the foreshore and seabed and, longer term, to extend Maori influence into the right of New Zealand politics.

Don't get me wrong, Maori Party MPs genuinely want those Maori seats . Theirs is a party that lives and dies on designated Maori seats. But when push comes to shove they will back down on those in the hope of getting the other, and Key knows it. And so, it seems, does Hide. ACT 1, Maori Party 0.

This is the first proper bit of coalition management that National will have to do; it won't be the last.

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