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Marae-DigiPoll Results


10 November 2007
MARAE-DIGIPOLL SURVEY

TVNZ Maori Programmes production, Marae recently commissioned Hamilton polls analysts DigiPoll to survey Maori voters from throughout New Zealand on their opinions towards various political issues.

The survey was carried out from 10 October - 7 November 2007. 1003 Maori voters were surveyed. 665 respondents are registered on the Maori Roll and 338 respondents are registered on the General Roll. The margin of error is +/- 3.1%.

Marae - DigiPoll November 2007

Q1. Party Vote

If an election was held today, which party would you vote for?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Maori Party  53%  13%  41%
Labour Party  32%  46%  36%
National  7%  27%  13%
Greens   3%  7%  4%
NZ First   2%  4%  3%
Other   0.7%  0.0%  0.3%

Q2. Electorate Vote

If an election was held today, and you were voting for your electorate MP, what party would your preferred candidate most likely come from ? 

NOTE : This question put to Maori Roll voters only.
Sample size for Maori Roll voters - 665 respondents
Margin of Error +/- 3.8%

See Excel File 1 for Breakdown by Seat

Maori Party  55%
Labour   33%
National  5%
NZ First   2%
Greens   2%
Destiny NZ  0.2%
Other   0.7%

Q3. Preferred Prime Minister

Of all political leaders in New Zealand who is your preferred Prime Minister?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Helen Clark  33%  45%  37%
Winston Peters  9%  8%  9%
John Key  4%  15%  7%
Tariana Turia  8%  1%  6%
Pita Sharples  7%  1%  5%
Other    4%  1%  3%
None   12%  11%  12%
Don't know  16%  12%  15%


Q4. Of all Maori MPs in Parliament, which one do you favour most ?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Pita Sharples  23%  20%  22%
Winston Peters  13%  17%  14%
Tariana Turia  12%  6%  10%
Hone Harawira  11%  4%  9%
Parekura Horomia 6%  5%  6%
Te Ururoa Flavell 6%  0.0%  4%
Tau Henare  3%  6%  4%
Nanaia Mahuta  3%  1%  2%
Georgina te Heuheu 1%  3%  2%
Dover Samuels  0%  2%  1%
Shane Jones  0%  1%  1%
Ron Mark  0%  0%  0%
Metiria Turei  0%  0%  0%
Mahara Okeroa  0%  0%  0%
Pita Paraone  0%  0%  0%
Mita Ririnui  0%  0%  0%
Don't Know  15%  22%  18%


Q5. In your opinion, which Maori MP is most effective in representing your views?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Pita Sharples  24%  19%  22%
Winston Peters  10%  14%  11%
Tariana Turia  11%  6%  9%
Hone Harawira  11%  3%  9%
Parekura Horomia 5%  4%  5%
Te Ururoa Flavell 5%  1%  4%
Tau Henare  2%  2%  2%
Nanaia Mahuta  2%  2%  2%
Shane Jones  1%  1%  1%
Georgina te Heuheu 1%  1%  1%
Dover Samuels  0%  0%  0%
Ron Mark  0%  0%  0%
Metiria Turei  0%  0%  0%
Mita Ririnui  0%  0%  0%
Mahara Okeroa  0%  0%  0%
Pita Paraone  0%  0%  0%
Don't Know  20%  33%  24%

Q6. How satisfied are you with the government's performance?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  3%  5%  4%
Satisfied   44%  50%  46%
Not satisfied  49%  41%  47%
Don't know  2%  2%  2%

Q7. How satisfied are you with the performance of Prime Minister Helen Clark?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  11%  18%  13%
Satisfied   49%  44%  48%
Not satisfied  36%  36%  36%
Don't know  2%  1%  2%

Q8. How satisfied are you with the performance of National Party leader John Key?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  3%  6%  4%
Satisfied   22%  42%  28%
Not satisfied  57%  40%  52%
Don't know  16%  10%  14%

Q9. How satisfied are you with the performance of NZ First leader Winston Peters?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  12%  10%  11%
Satisfied   44%  57%  48%
Not satisfied  37%  26%  34%
Don't know  5%  4%  5%

Q10. How satisfied are you with the performance of the Labour Maori MPs?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  7%  6%  7%
Satisfied   45%  56%  49%
Not satisfied  38%  25%  34%
Don't know  7%  11%  8%

Q11. How satisfied are you with the performance of the Maori Party MPs?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  21%  12%  18%
Satisfied   59%  53%  57%
Not satisfied  12%  21%  15%
Don't know  5%  12%  7%

Q12. How satisfied are you with the performance of the National Party Maori MPs, Georgina te Heuheu and Tau Henare?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Very satisfied  4%  9%  6%
Satisfied   39%  40%  39%
Not satisfied  44%  34%  41%
Don't know  10%  15%  12%

Q13. What is the most important issue for you right now ? Top 5

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Health    13%  18%  15%
Maori Issues / Treaty 10%  21%  14%
Education  14%  12%  14%
Tax  Cuts  15%  2%  11%
Law & Order  4%  4%  4%

Q14. Police have defended their recent armed raids in communities in Te Urewera, saying they were justified in the interests  of public safety. Critics have said they were an unnecessary overreaction.

Do you think the armed police raids in Te Urewera were :

Maori Roll General Roll Total  
Justified in the interests of public safety?  15%  32%  20%
An unnecessary overreaction?   75%  51%  68%
Don't Know     9%  15%  11%

Q15. Responding to the police  raids, Maori Party co-leader Pita Sharples said the police operation has put  race relations back 100 years.

Do you agree or disagree with his opinion?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Agree      59%  37%  52%
Disagree     32%  52%  38%
Don't know     7%  10%  8%
 
Q16. Activist Tame Iti was among those arrested by the police in Te Urewera. Police allege he  and others were training a paramilitary group to engage in terrorist activities.

Do you think Tame  Iti could  ever be a terrorist?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Yes      9%  16%  11%
No      80%  71%  77%
Don't know     7%  11%  8%

Q17. In response to the police raids, Maori Party MP Hone  Harawira accused  police of terrorising Maori communities.

Do you agree or disagree with his opinion?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Agree      63%  38%  55%
Disagree     25%  48%  32%
Don't know     10%  13%  11%

Q18. Do you think the Government  is heading in the right  direction?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Yes      33%  43%  36%
No      46%  43%  45%
Don't know     20%  13%  18%

Q19. Have  you joined  KiwiSaver, the work-based retirement plan?
 
Maori Roll General Roll Total
Yes      14%  15%  15%
No      85%  83%  84%
Don't know     0%  0%  0%


Q20. Climate change and its effects on the environment has been a high-profile issue in 2007.

How concerned are you about climate change?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
I am greatly concerned    64%  54%  61%
I see it as a concern but it doesn't
affect me personally    27%  34%  29%
I don't care at all    1%  1%  1%
Don't know     0%  0%  0%

Q21. A recent report indicates around 100,000 Maori live in Australia, with more expected to immigrate from New Zealand in the near future.

Do you have any plans to move to Australia?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Yes      22%  27%  24%
No      73%  70%  72%
Don't know     3%  2%  3%

Q22. Do you have  any whanau living in Australia?

Maori Roll General Roll Total
Yes      55%  53%  55%
No      44%  46%  44%

Q23. Do you think of yourself as a&

Maori Roll General Roll Total
New Zealander first    12%  45%  22%
Maori first     72%  35%  61%
Both      14%  18%  15%
Don't know     20%  13%  18%


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